TLDR
- PumpMarket launched on Solana mainnet, resolving 63 markets and recording 66 SOL in volume within the first 48 hours
- The platform lets users stake SOL on whether Pump.fun tokens will “graduate” from the bonding curve within one hour
- It uses a parimutuel pool model, pooling all stakes and paying out winners proportionally
- PumpMarket is competing in Pump.fun’s $3 million Build in Public Hackathon, which has already funded two projects at $250,000 each
- Plans include expanding to downside markets, market cap milestones, volume thresholds, and exchange listing outcomes
PumpMarket has gone live on Solana mainnet, offering a prediction market focused entirely on Pump.fun token launches. Users can stake SOL on whether a newly launched token will “graduate” from the bonding curve within a one-hour window.
In its first 48 hours, the platform resolved 63 markets, recorded 66 SOL in total volume, and settled more than 150 predictions. The project is built on deployed smart contracts, not prototypes.
The platform is part of Pump.fun’s $3 million Build in Public Hackathon, launched through the Pump Fund in January 2026. The competition backs founders who build openly and show real traction. Two projects have already received $250,000 each: zauth and Opal.
Pump.fun processes over 20,000 token launches daily. However, only one to two percent of tokens ever graduate. That gap between trader conviction and execution is what PumpMarket says it is solving.
PumpMarket CEO stated: “Pump.fun traders are right more often than people think. They lose money because execution is unforgiving, not because they can’t read the market. PumpMarket gives them a way to back their conviction without touching the token.”
How the Platform Works
The platform uses a parimutuel pool model. All SOL stakes are pooled, then distributed proportionally to users who predicted correctly once the market closes.
Users can bet on graduation or non-graduation, giving two-sided exposure to each event. Settlement is tied to objective on-chain data, with no manual intervention.
Infrastructure providers Bitquery, Helius, and Birdeye power real-time data feeds for market resolution. This was tested on devnet before mainnet launch, where hundreds of markets were resolved against live Pump.fun data.
The platform received recognition from Solana co-founder Toly during its devnet phase. Coverage also appeared in TheNewsCrypto, Metaverse Post, and Crypto News Flash before the mainnet launch.
Expansion Plans
PumpMarket co-founder said: “Graduation markets are our starting point, not our ceiling. We’re building the prediction layer for every verifiable on-chain outcome that matters.”
The team plans to add markets around token price declines, market cap milestones, trading volume thresholds, and exchange listings. Each category will be tied to objectively verifiable on-chain events.
Longer term, the platform intends to expand beyond Pump.fun to other launchpads and crypto ecosystems. The goal is a prediction infrastructure layer that works across a wide range of crypto-native events.
PumpMarket is currently live and generating revenue on Solana mainnet, with active markets being created and resolved in production.
