TLDR
- Google added Michigan and New York to its list of states where prediction market ads are banned.
- The ban brings the total number of restricted states to four, joining Nevada and Ohio.
- Only advertisers with CFTC or NFA authorization can run prediction market ads in approved states.
- The changes follow court rulings against Kalshi in both Michigan and New York.
- A Michigan judge gave Kalshi until August 12 to stop offering sports contracts in the state or face daily fines.
Google has stopped allowing ads for prediction market contracts in Michigan and New York. The change took effect July 13, 2026.
This brings the total number of restricted states to four. Nevada and Ohio were already on the list.
Google announced the update through its Prediction Markets Policy page. The company said advertising for these products is now prohibited in both new states.
The policy applies to ads for prediction market contracts and related products. It covers any company trying to advertise these services to users in the restricted states.
Who Can Advertise Prediction Markets
Under Google’s rules, only certain operators can run these ads. They must be authorized by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission as a Designated Contract Market.
Alternatively, they can register with the National Futures Association. This lets them offer access to products listed by an approved market.
Ohio was added to the restricted list in June. Nevada was added earlier in the year.
At the time of the Ohio addition, the state’s casino control commission said it had not asked Google to make the change.
Court Rulings Line Up With the Timing
Google has not said why it added Michigan and New York. But both states recently won court cases involving the prediction market company Kalshi.
In Michigan, a judge ordered Kalshi to stop offering sports event contracts to residents. The order was issued on June 29, 2026.
The court later extended that order. Kalshi now has until August 12 to block Michigan users or pay $500,000 in fines per day.
In New York, a federal judge denied Kalshi’s request to pause the state’s enforcement action. That ruling came on July 7, 2026.
The judge found that Kalshi had not shown federal law overrides New York’s gambling laws. This allows New York to keep enforcing its rules while the case moves forward.
All four states now blocked from running these ads have taken legal action against prediction market operators. Each has either sued or challenged the legality of sports event contracts in court.
Google has not linked its ad policy directly to these court cases. The company has also not said whether more states could be added in the future.
